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County, OR","distance":0.409711},{"geoid":"06057","name":"Nevada County, CA","distance":0.42536},{"geoid":"06079","name":"San Luis Obispo County, CA","distance":0.491626},{"geoid":"41029","name":"Jackson County, OR","distance":0.729697},{"geoid":"06099","name":"Stanislaus County, CA","distance":0.779044}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":75421,"shockChange":-9.960126,"controlsMeanChange":-10.864052,"controlsMinChange":-11.386014,"controlsMaxChange":-10.334387,"controls":5,"difference":0.903926},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":89794,"shockChange":7.198797,"controlsMeanChange":-4.939642,"controlsMinChange":-8.116637,"controlsMaxChange":-1.370687,"controls":5,"difference":12.138439},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":98820,"shockChange":17.974309,"controlsMeanChange":8.316972,"controlsMinChange":-4.621117,"controlsMaxChange":17.751657,"controls":5,"difference":9.657337}],"headline":null},{"outcome":"poverty_rate","comparison":"points","baseYear":2023,"controls":[{"geoid":"53057","name":"Skagit County, WA","distance":0.231145},{"geoid":"06017","name":"El Dorado County, CA","distance":0.582467},{"geoid":"06057","name":"Nevada County, CA","distance":0.761991},{"geoid":"41005","name":"Clackamas County, OR","distance":0.788296},{"geoid":"02170","name":"Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK","distance":0.792155}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":11.4,"shockChange":2,"controlsMeanChange":1.38,"controlsMinChange":0.8,"controlsMaxChange":1.9,"controls":5,"difference":0.62},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":9,"shockChange":-0.4,"controlsMeanChange":0.68,"controlsMinChange":-0.3,"controlsMaxChange":1.7,"controls":5,"difference":-1.08},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":9.9,"shockChange":0.5,"controlsMeanChange":0.04,"controlsMinChange":-1.3,"controlsMaxChange":1.2,"controls":5,"difference":0.46}],"headline":null}]}],"caveats":[{"id":"obligations","text":"Money is counted when the government commits it (obligations), not when it is paid out; a multi-year contract can be obligated at once."},{"id":"place-of-performance","text":"Money is placed where the work is performed or the program operates, which is not always where the jobs, workers or beneficiaries are."},{"id":"few-years","text":"Only a few fiscal years of money are loaded (see the coverage), so each comparison follows a place for one or two years after the money at most."},{"id":"small-samples","text":"Some comparisons rest on few places: read the number of places and the uncertainty range with every result."},{"id":"association","text":"These are comparisons, not proof of cause and effect: other events in the same places and years can explain a difference."},{"id":"many-comparisons","text":"Many pairings and years are compared at once: by chance alone, about one clear difference in twenty can appear where there is none."},{"id":"matched-counties","text":"Each place is compared with similar counties in the same Census division that saw no comparable jump in money; similar is not identical."}],"sources":[{"id":"bea-regional","name":"Regional Economic Accounts","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income by 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applications)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/","vintage":"2026-10-01","loadedAt":"2026-10-01T15:51:40.026Z"},{"id":"census-bps","name":"Building Permits Survey","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey (county files)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/construction/bps/","vintage":"2026-08","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:14:14.060Z"},{"id":"census-geo","name":"Cartographic Boundary Files, Gazetteer and metro delineations","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Cartographic Boundary Files and Gazetteer Files; OMB metropolitan and micropolitan statistical area delineations; American Community Survey 5-year population (city and county shares)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/geographies/mapping-files/time-series/geo/cartographic-boundary.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-10-01T07:50:40.343Z"},{"id":"census-pep","name":"Population Estimates Program","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:05:38.461Z"},{"id":"census-sahie","name":"Small Area Health Insurance Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (SAHIE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sahie.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:29.353Z"},{"id":"census-saipe","name":"Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/saipe.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:19.832Z"},{"id":"usaspending-assistance","name":"Federal financial assistance transactions (Financial Assistance Broker Submission)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award financial assistance transactions (FABS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-08","loadedAt":"2026-10-08T06:32:13.987Z"},{"id":"usaspending-contracts","name":"Federal contract transactions (Federal Procurement Data System)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award contract transactions (FPDS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-07","loadedAt":"2026-10-07T06:15:34.448Z"},{"id":"zillow","name":"Zillow Home Value Index, Observed Rent Index and affordability","publisher":"Zillow Research","attribution":"Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) and Zillow affordability data, Zillow Research, zillow.com/research/data","homepage":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/","vintage":"2026-08","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:06:10.720Z"}]}