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LA","distance":1.164115}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":-0.9,"shockChange":-4.4,"controlsMeanChange":-5.18,"controlsMinChange":-6.8,"controlsMaxChange":-2.4,"controls":5,"difference":0.78},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":0.5,"shockChange":-3,"controlsMeanChange":-5.4,"controlsMinChange":-9.3,"controlsMaxChange":-2.6,"controls":5,"difference":2.4},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":8.2,"shockChange":4.7,"controlsMeanChange":-4.88,"controlsMinChange":-9.9,"controlsMaxChange":-0.9,"controls":5,"difference":9.58},{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":7,"shockChange":3.5,"controlsMeanChange":-2.96,"controlsMinChange":-6.7,"controlsMaxChange":1.8,"controls":5,"difference":6.46}],"headline":{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":7,"shockChange":3.5,"controlsMeanChange":-2.96,"controlsMinChange":-6.7,"controlsMaxChange":1.8,"controls":5,"difference":6.46,"outsideControlRange":true}},{"outcome":"housing_permits_rate","comparison":"points","baseYear":2023,"controls":[{"geoid":"22125","name":"West 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LA","distance":1.058059}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":5.392681,"shockChange":0.75438,"controlsMeanChange":1.179655,"controlsMinChange":-0.034143,"controlsMaxChange":3.057779,"controls":5,"difference":-0.425276},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":3.618871,"shockChange":-1.019431,"controlsMeanChange":1.172426,"controlsMinChange":-0.855938,"controlsMaxChange":2.510061,"controls":5,"difference":-2.191856},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":3.931204,"shockChange":-0.707098,"controlsMeanChange":-0.105262,"controlsMinChange":-0.832299,"controlsMaxChange":0.294063,"controls":5,"difference":-0.601835},{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":2.11179,"shockChange":-2.526512,"controlsMeanChange":0.021148,"controlsMinChange":-1.380715,"controlsMaxChange":0.761978,"controls":5,"difference":-2.547659}],"headline":{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":2.11179,"shockChange":-2.526512,"controlsMeanChange":0.021148,"controlsMinChange":-1.380715,"controlsMaxChange":0.761978,"controls":5,"difference":-2.547659,"outsideControlRange":true}}]}],"caveats":[{"id":"obligations","text":"Money is counted when the government commits it (obligations), not when it is paid out; a multi-year contract can be obligated at once."},{"id":"place-of-performance","text":"Money is placed where the work is performed or the program operates, which is not always where the jobs, workers or beneficiaries are."},{"id":"few-years","text":"Only a few fiscal years of money are loaded (see the coverage), so each comparison follows a place for one or two years after the money at most."},{"id":"small-samples","text":"Some comparisons rest on few places: read the number of places and the uncertainty range with every result."},{"id":"association","text":"These are comparisons, not proof of cause and effect: other events in the same places and years can explain a difference."},{"id":"many-comparisons","text":"Many pairings and years are compared at once: by chance alone, about one clear difference in twenty can appear where there is none."},{"id":"matched-counties","text":"Each place is compared with similar counties in the same Census division that saw no comparable jump in money; similar is not identical."}],"sources":[{"id":"bea-regional","name":"Regional Economic Accounts","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income by County (CAINC1) and Regional Price Parities; counties mapped to metro areas with OMB Bulletin 23-01 delineations","homepage":"https://www.bea.gov/data/by-place-county-metro-local","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T21:50:03.389Z"},{"id":"bls-laus","name":"Local Area Unemployment Statistics","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics","homepage":"https://www.bls.gov/lau/","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T21:51:58.235Z"},{"id":"bls-qcew","name":"Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages","homepage":"https://www.bls.gov/cew/","vintage":"2026 Q1","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T21:54:22.947Z"},{"id":"census-bfs","name":"Business Formation Statistics","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics (county business applications)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/","vintage":"2026-10-01","loadedAt":"2026-10-01T15:51:40.026Z"},{"id":"census-bps","name":"Building Permits Survey","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey (county files)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/construction/bps/","vintage":"2026-08","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:14:14.060Z"},{"id":"census-geo","name":"Cartographic Boundary Files, Gazetteer and metro delineations","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Cartographic Boundary Files and Gazetteer Files; OMB metropolitan and micropolitan statistical area delineations; American Community Survey 5-year population (city and county shares)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/geographies/mapping-files/time-series/geo/cartographic-boundary.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-10-01T07:50:40.343Z"},{"id":"census-pep","name":"Population Estimates Program","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:05:38.461Z"},{"id":"census-sahie","name":"Small Area Health Insurance Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (SAHIE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sahie.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:29.353Z"},{"id":"census-saipe","name":"Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/saipe.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:19.832Z"},{"id":"usaspending-assistance","name":"Federal financial assistance transactions (Financial Assistance Broker Submission)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award financial assistance transactions (FABS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-10","loadedAt":"2026-10-10T07:04:24.718Z"},{"id":"usaspending-contracts","name":"Federal contract transactions (Federal Procurement Data System)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award contract transactions (FPDS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-10","loadedAt":"2026-10-10T06:13:36.989Z"},{"id":"zillow","name":"Zillow Home Value Index, Observed Rent Index and affordability","publisher":"Zillow Research","attribution":"Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) and Zillow affordability data, Zillow Research, zillow.com/research/data","homepage":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/","vintage":"2026-08","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:06:10.720Z"}]}