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County, PA","distance":0.546088},{"geoid":"42013","name":"Blair County, PA","distance":0.648295},{"geoid":"42129","name":"Westmoreland County, PA","distance":0.902521},{"geoid":"42011","name":"Berks County, PA","distance":0.973323},{"geoid":"42071","name":"Lancaster County, PA","distance":0.99109}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":5.3,"shockChange":2.2,"controlsMeanChange":2.08,"controlsMinChange":1.7,"controlsMaxChange":2.4,"controls":5,"difference":0.12},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":3.7,"shockChange":0.6,"controlsMeanChange":0.56,"controlsMinChange":0.4,"controlsMaxChange":0.7,"controls":5,"difference":0.04},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":3.3,"shockChange":0.2,"controlsMeanChange":0.06,"controlsMinChange":0,"controlsMaxChange":0.2,"controls":5,"difference":0.14},{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":3.9,"shockChange":0.8,"controlsMeanChange":0.48,"controlsMinChange":0.4,"controlsMaxChange":0.7,"controls":5,"difference":0.32}],"headline":{"relativeYear":1,"year":2025,"shockValue":3.9,"shockChange":0.8,"controlsMeanChange":0.48,"controlsMinChange":0.4,"controlsMaxChange":0.7,"controls":5,"difference":0.32,"outsideControlRange":true}},{"outcome":"per_capita_income","comparison":"percent","baseYear":2023,"controls":[{"geoid":"42069","name":"Lackawanna County, PA","distance":0.433343},{"geoid":"42013","name":"Blair County, PA","distance":0.434644},{"geoid":"42049","name":"Erie County, PA","distance":0.566228},{"geoid":"42089","name":"Monroe County, PA","distance":0.60374},{"geoid":"42073","name":"Lawrence County, PA","distance":0.618242}],"path":[{"relativeYear":-3,"year":2021,"shockValue":56214,"shockChange":-3.576391,"controlsMeanChange":-4.057369,"controlsMinChange":-4.840802,"controlsMaxChange":-2.603524,"controls":5,"difference":0.480978},{"relativeYear":-2,"year":2022,"shockValue":56679,"shockChange":-2.778778,"controlsMeanChange":-5.031853,"controlsMinChange":-5.849479,"controlsMaxChange":-4.369428,"controls":5,"difference":2.253075},{"relativeYear":0,"year":2024,"shockValue":60884,"shockChange":4.434038,"controlsMeanChange":3.890424,"controlsMinChange":3.16068,"controlsMaxChange":4.504571,"controls":5,"difference":0.543615}],"headline":null}]}],"caveats":[{"id":"obligations","text":"Money is counted when the government commits it (obligations), not when it is paid out; a multi-year contract can be obligated at once."},{"id":"place-of-performance","text":"Money is placed where the work is performed or the program operates, which is not always where the jobs, workers or beneficiaries are."},{"id":"few-years","text":"Only a few fiscal years of money are loaded (see the coverage), so each comparison follows a place for one or two years after the money at most."},{"id":"small-samples","text":"Some comparisons rest on few places: read the number of places and the uncertainty range with every result."},{"id":"association","text":"These are comparisons, not proof of cause and effect: other events in the same places and years can explain a difference."},{"id":"many-comparisons","text":"Many pairings and years are compared at once: by chance alone, about one clear difference in twenty can appear where there is none."},{"id":"matched-counties","text":"Each place is compared with similar counties in the same Census division that saw no comparable jump in money; similar is not identical."}],"sources":[{"id":"bea-regional","name":"Regional Economic Accounts","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income by County (CAINC1) and Regional Price Parities; counties mapped to metro areas with OMB Bulletin 23-01 delineations","homepage":"https://www.bea.gov/data/by-place-county-metro-local","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T21:50:03.389Z"},{"id":"bls-laus","name":"Local Area Unemployment Statistics","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics","homepage":"https://www.bls.gov/lau/","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T21:51:58.235Z"},{"id":"bls-qcew","name":"Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages","publisher":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","attribution":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and 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county shares)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/geographies/mapping-files/time-series/geo/cartographic-boundary.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-10-01T07:50:40.343Z"},{"id":"census-pep","name":"Population Estimates Program","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html","vintage":"2025","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:05:38.461Z"},{"id":"census-sahie","name":"Small Area Health Insurance Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (SAHIE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sahie.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:29.353Z"},{"id":"census-saipe","name":"Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates","publisher":"U.S. Census Bureau","attribution":"U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)","homepage":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/saipe.html","vintage":"2024","loadedAt":"2026-09-29T09:23:19.832Z"},{"id":"usaspending-assistance","name":"Federal financial assistance transactions (Financial Assistance Broker Submission)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award financial assistance transactions (FABS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-08","loadedAt":"2026-10-08T06:32:13.987Z"},{"id":"usaspending-contracts","name":"Federal contract transactions (Federal Procurement Data System)","publisher":"U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov","attribution":"USAspending.gov, prime award contract transactions (FPDS)","homepage":"https://www.usaspending.gov/download_center/award_data_archive","vintage":"2026-10-09","loadedAt":"2026-10-09T06:23:41.399Z"},{"id":"zillow","name":"Zillow Home Value Index, Observed Rent Index and affordability","publisher":"Zillow Research","attribution":"Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) and Zillow affordability data, Zillow Research, zillow.com/research/data","homepage":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/","vintage":"2026-08","loadedAt":"2026-09-30T22:06:10.720Z"}]}