Scores by category

Each category averages its indicators' percentile scores among US metro and micro areas.

Safety26#684/924
Economy16#774/925
Housing71#273/925
Health1#913/925
Healthcare13#802/923
Environment73#247/917
Education5#883/925
Infrastructure9#841/925
Community3#900/925
Leisure & amenities2#904/925

Strengths · Weaknesses

Indicators where McMinnville, TN micropolitan area ranks highest and lowest among US metro and micro areas (score = percentile, 100 = best).

Strengths

Effective property tax rate · low0.43%
92/100Tennessee 0.52%United States 0.94%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B25090
New homes permitted · high6.4 /1k
85/100Tennessee 5.7 /1kUnited States 4.2 /1kSep 2025–Aug 2026U.S. Census BureauProvisional data
Rent as share of income · low27.3%
72/100Tennessee 29.5%United States 30.6%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B25071
Child care cost burden · low25.4%
71/100Tennessee 22.4%United States 27.9%2023 & 2024University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteAggregated from counties
High ozone days · low0 days
71/100Tennessee 2 daysUnited States 7 days2022Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyAggregated from counties
Pharmacies · high1.8 /10k
68/100Tennessee 1.9 /10kUnited States 1.8 /10k2025U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsAggregated from counties

Weaknesses

Some college · low40.8%
1/100Tennessee 63.4%United States 67.8%2019-2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteAggregated from counties
Frequent mental distress · high22.0%
2/100Tennessee 22.0%United States 18.6%2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteAggregated from counties
Bachelor's degree or higher · low14.1%
3/100Tennessee 31.1%United States 35.7%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B15003
Job growth · low-4.4%
3/100Tennessee -0.2%United States 0.1%2026 Q1U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsProvisional data
Adult smoking · high21.6%
3/100Tennessee 21.0%United States 16.1%2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteAggregated from counties
Depression · high30.7%
3/100Tennessee 29.0%United States 20.7%2023Centers for Disease Control and PreventionAggregated from counties

Trends

The largest changes over about five years, next to the country's over the same periods.

PopulationRising
41,057 (2020) → 43,717 (2025)
+6.5%5 yearsUS 331,578,104 → 341,784,857
Drought exposureWorsening
0% (2021) → 25% (Oct 2025–Sep 2026)
+25 pts5 yearsUS 40% → 43%
New business applicationsImproving
4.9 /1k (2020) → 9.6 /1k (2025)
+97%5 yearsUS 13.1 /1k → 16.6 /1k
Child poverty rateImproving
37.7% (2015-2019) → 20.4% (2020-2024)
−17 pts5 yearsCensus table B17001US 16.8% → 15.5%
Broadband subscriptionsImproving
70.0% (2015-2019) → 86.5% (2020-2024)
+17 pts5 yearsCensus table B28002US 82.7% → 91.0%
Suicide rateWorsening
20.5 /100k (2021) → 32.8 /100k (May 2025–Apr 2026)
+60%5 yearsUS 14.5 /100k → 14.1 /100k

What changed in five years

How each measure moved between two periods about five years apart, read against whether more or less is better, the published margin of error and the same change in other places.

Over about five years, McMinnville, TN micropolitan area improved on 13 of 30 measures with a comparison and declined on 8. 6 moved within the margin of error and 3 barely changed.

Earlier period
Latest period
Lower standingHigher standing

Position is the place's standing among metro and micro areas: further right is better, whichever way the measure counts. Periods differ by measure (most compare 2015-2019 with 2020-2024); each row names its own in its tooltip and in the table.

Improved13

Child poverty−17 points37.7% → 20.4%
High school++6.8 points79.5% → 86.3%
Poverty−6 points21.7% → 15.7%
Broadband+17 points70.0% → 86.5%
New businesses+97%4.9 /1k → 9.6 /1k

Declined8

Homicides+48%4.0 /100k → 5.9 /100k
Firearm deaths+52%18.5 /100k → 28.1 /100k
Grocery stores−22%1.5 /10k → 1.1 /10k
Suicides+34%24.4 /100k → 32.8 /100k
Price / income+0.7×2.7× → 3.5×

All 30 measures

Change of every measure of McMinnville, TN micropolitan area between two periods about five years apart
Measure	Before	After	Change	Reading	Favourable vs peers
Arts, entertainment and recreation	1.9 /10k2020	2.1 /10k2025	+5.7%	Improved	42%
Average commute time	24.3 min2015-2019	26.9 min2020-2024	+2.6 min	Within the margin of error	8%
Average weekly wage	$7762020	$1,0012025	+29%	Improved	90%
Bachelor's degree or higher	14.5%2015-2019	14.1%2020-2024	−0.4 points	Within the margin of error	5%
Broadband subscriptions	70.0%2015-2019	86.5%2020-2024	+17 points	Improved	93%
Child poverty rate	37.7%2015-2019	20.4%2020-2024	−17 points	Improved	100%
Distance to an airport	55 mi2020	55 mi2025	+0 mi	Little change	24%
Effective property tax rate	0.56%2015-2019	0.43%2020-2024	−0.1 points	Little change	47%
Firearm deaths	18.5 /100k2020	28.1 /100kMay 2025–Apr 2026	+52%	Declined	9%
Grocery stores	1.5 /10k2020	1.1 /10k2025	−22%	Declined	8%
Gyms and fitness centers	0.5 /10k2020	0.5 /10k2025	−6.1%	Declined	28%
High school diploma or higher	79.5%2015-2019	86.3%2020-2024	+6.8 points	Improved	99%
Home price to income ratio	2.7×2015-2019	3.5×2020-2024	+0.7×	Declined	24%
Homicide rate	4.0 /100k2020	5.9 /100kMay 2025–Apr 2026	+48%	Declined	5%
Income adjusted for local prices	$42,7452019	$55,7542024	+30%	Improved	39%
Income inequality (Gini index)	0.4722015-2019	0.4582020-2024	−0.015	Within the margin of error	84%
Median household income	$41,1252015-2019	$55,4872020-2024	+35%	Improved	85%
New business applications	4.9 /1k2020	9.6 /1k2025	+97%	Improved	94%
Pharmacies	1.9 /10k2020	1.8 /10k2025	−6.1%	Declined	55%
Poverty rate	21.7%2015-2019	15.7%2020-2024	−6 points	Improved	98%
Property crime rate	1,885 /100k2020	902 /100k2025	−52%	Improved	88%
Public libraries	0.2 /10k2019	0.2 /10k2024	−5.2%	Declined	24%
Rent as share of income	27.8%2015-2019	27.3%2020-2024	−0.5 points	Within the margin of error	68%
Rent-burdened households	44.7%2015-2019	44.9%2020-2024	+0.2 points	Within the margin of error	57%
Restaurants and bars	4.9 /10k2020	4.8 /10k2025	−1.4%	Little change	39%
Suicide rate	24.4 /100k2020	32.8 /100kMay 2025–Apr 2026	+34%	Declined	13%
Traffic deaths	21.6 /100k2015-2019	16.6 /100k2020-2024	−23%	Improved	91%
Unemployment rate	8.6%2020	3.9%2025	−4.7 points	Improved	90%
Uninsured residents (under 65)	15.3%2015-2019	14.4%2020-2024	−0.8 points	Within the margin of error	67%
Violent crime rate	466 /100k2020	318 /100k2025	−32%	Improved	78%

“Against peers” compares the change with the same change in the 708 metro and micro areas that have the same two periods. It describes how common a change is, not why it happened.

Sources: Regional Economic Accounts; Local Area Unemployment Statistics; Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages; Mapping Injury, Overdose, and Violence; American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates; Business Formation Statistics; Uniform Crime Reporting Program, Return A master files; Public Libraries Survey; Fatality Analysis Reporting System; Distance to airports and intercity rail. Values are the latest and the one five years earlier of the same publisher dataset; datasets that changed publisher in between are never compared.

Survey estimates (American Community Survey) compare the two most recent 5-year windows that do not share years, so the margin of error of the difference holds. The 2015-2019 window predates the pandemic and 2020-2024 includes it.
A change counts only when it is larger than 1.645 times the square root of the two standard errors squared, summed (a 90% margin). Measures published without a margin must change by at least 5% to count.
“Against peers” compares the change with the same change in the 925 metro and micro areas that have the same two periods. It describes how common a change is, not why it happened.
Standing is a percentile among the same places: 0 is the lowest value on the measure (or the worst when lower is better), 100 the best.

Metro and micro areas like McMinnville, TN micropolitan area five years ago that improved

The places whose measures looked most like those of McMinnville, TN micropolitan area in the earlier period, ranked by how many measures improved beyond the margin of error, minus how many declined. A comparison of published data, not a forecast and not advice.

For comparison, McMinnville, TN micropolitan area itself moved +3.9 points in standing on average over the same 29 measures (standings of all places average about zero).

How the ranking works

Similarity is the root-mean-square difference of standings in the earlier period over the measures most places have. Places are ranked by measures that improved beyond the margin of error minus those that declined (a count that estimation noise in small places cannot inflate), then by the mean change of standing over the measures a place has in both periods. Only places with more improvements than declines and a rise in standing are listed. Standings are relative, so a place can improve in absolute terms and still lose standing.

Who lives here

Age, race and education of residents, from the American Community Survey. Shares are of all residents (age), residents of every origin (race) or adults 25 and over (education).

Age and sex

42,166 residents

Men
Women

80 and over
70–79
60–69

Income

How household income is spread, not just the middle: each bar is the share of households in that income range.

Household income

16,203 households (±438)

McMinnville, TN micropolitan area
United States share

Under $25k20%3,198
$25k–50k24%3,932
$50k–75k22%3,527

Homes

Who owns and who rents, what homes cost, and what the housing stock looks like.

Owners and renters

16,203 households (±438)

McMinnville, TN micropolitan area
United States share

Own72%11,738
Rent28%4,465

Biggest shift since 2015–2019: Own (+3.0 points).

Table view

Getting to work

How workers travel to their job and how long it takes them.

How people get to work

18,067 workers (±776)

McMinnville, TN micropolitan area
United States share

Drive alone79%14,186
Carpool13%2,428
Public transit0.1%†15

Jobs and pay

What the largest occupations here pay, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics survey.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes no occupation wages for McMinnville, TN micropolitan area.

Local businesses

Employer businesses and sole proprietors by industry, per resident and against the state and the nation. Counts of businesses next to counts of people, not a measure of demand.

McMinnville, TN has 781 employer establishments, 183 for every 10,000 residents (0.74× the US rate of 248), with 9,738 paid employees at an average annual pay of $45,778. The Census Bureau also counts 3,474 nonemployer businesses, mostly sole proprietors.

Establishments: 781; 3,474 nonemployers
Per 10,000 residents: 183; US 248
Paid employees: 9,738
Average annual pay: $45,778; US $68,342

Employer establishments, employees, average pay and nonemployers of McMinnville, TN by industry, with the density per resident against the nation

Ambulatory health care services	80	18.8	0.90×About typical	638	$63,309	113
Restaurants and other eating places	57	13.4	0.73×Fewer than typical	1,040	$16,183	13
Specialty trade contractors	40	9.4	0.61×Fewer than typical	296	$54,794	405
Offices of physicians	39	9.2	1.41×More than typical	281	$78,423	17
Religious organizations	36	8.4	1.52×More than typical	119	$19,328	—
Gasoline stations	25	5.9	1.81×More than typical	105	$20,457	—
Limited-service restaurants	25	5.9	0.73×Fewer than typical	680	$16,359	4
Full-service restaurants	22	5.2	0.67×Fewer than typical	313	$15,591	3
Banks and credit unions	21	4.9	1.53×More than typical	275	$68,767	—
General merchandise stores	20	4.7	2.66×More than typical	485	$29,377	25
Building equipment contractors	18	4.2	0.70×Fewer than typical	143	$54,063	75
Lessors of real estate	18	4.2	0.34×Fewer than typical	95	$21,305	211

Rank places for an industry

County Business Patterns (2023); Nonemployer Statistics (2024)

Per-resident figures divide by the population estimate of 2023: 42,615 residents here, 336,755,052 in the United States. County Business Patterns counts establishments in 2023; the Nonemployer Statistics count businesses in 2024.
“More than typical” is a density at least 1.25 times the nation's per resident, “fewer” at most 0.8 times, with at least 10 establishments. It compares counts of businesses with counts of people: it says nothing about demand, incomes, size, quality or profit, and visitors and commuters are not residents.
The Census Bureau adds noise to employment and payroll to protect confidentiality, and withholds some figures: an industry with few establishments can show employees or pay as unavailable.
Industries overlap: a narrower industry (full-service restaurants) is part of a broader one (restaurants), so the rows do not add up.
A metro area's figures are the exact sums of its counties.
Industries follow the North American Industry Classification System; the two surveys use different editions (NAICS 2017 and 2022), which this page matches industry by industry.

Federal contract spending

In FY2026, federal agencies obligated $2.2M on contracts performed in McMinnville, TN micropolitan area: $51.01 per resident (US $1,994).

Obligations: $2.2M; −8.6% vs FY2025
Per resident: $51.01; US $1,994
Sole-source: 0.0%; US 30%
Single offer: 3.3%; US 8.8%

A signal is a reason to look closer, not evidence of wrongdoing: most sole-source awards are lawful and justified.

Top buying agencies

Department of Veterans Affairs$2.1M94%
Forest Service$143.6K

Federal grants & assistance

Grants, loans (counted at their subsidy cost), direct payments and insurance, by fiscal year of the action (USAspending.gov, FABS). Reported apart from contracts and never added to them.

In FY2026, federal agencies obligated $270.1M in grants, loans, direct payments and insurance for McMinnville, TN micropolitan area: $6,179 per resident (US $12,955).

Assistance · FY2026: $270.1M; −3.3% vs FY2025
Per resident: $6,179; US $12,955
Loan face value: $18.6M; lent or guaranteed
To individuals: 0.8%; counted, never named

Top programs

96.002 · Social Security Retirement Insurance$166.3M62%
96.001 · Social Security Disability Insurance$33M12%
64.109 · Veterans Compensation for Service-Connected Disability$29.3M11%
96.004 · Social Security Survivors Insurance$18.8M7.0%
96.006 · Supplemental Security Income$11.1M4.1%
64.110 · Veterans Dependency and Indemnity Compensation for Service-Connected Death$1.8M0.7%
10.988 · Supplemental Disaster Relief Program$1.8M0.7%
32.005 · Universal Service Fund - Rural Health Care$1.7M0.6%

Top recipients (organizations)

CHARGER ACCESS, LLC$1.7M0.6%
FRANKLIN, TN
TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION$1.4M0.5%
NASHVILLE, TN
TENNESSEE COLLEGE OF APPLIED TECHNOLOGY MCMINNVILLE$1.1M0.4%
MCMINNVILLE, TN
MILITARY, TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF$449.5K0.2%
NASHVILLE, TN
WESTSIDE ASSOCIATES, L.P.

Organizations only: awards to individuals and county aggregate records count in the totals but are never listed. Grants to state governments recorded at the agency's own address are counted statewide, not in the capital's county.

Top agencies

Social Security Administration$229.3M85%
Under Secretary for Benefits/Veterans Benefits Administration$32.6M12%
Department of Veterans Affairs
Farm Service Agency$1.8M0.7%
Department of Agriculture
Federal Communications Commission$1.7M0.6%
Federal Highway Administration$1.4M0.5%

Assistance by fiscal year

249.4MFY2021
238.8MFY2022
245MFY2023
266MFY2024
279.5MFY2025
270.1MFY2026

County aggregates

97%

Share of obligations reported only as county totals of many small awards (for example Social Security or Medicare payments), with no recipient named.

Source: Federal financial assistance transactions (Financial Assistance Broker Submission) (U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov), data current to Oct 3, 2026, loaded Oct 3, 2026 · FY2021–FY2026.

Counties in McMinnville, TN

Whole counties, as the U.S. Office of Management and Budget delineates the area. Federal spending below is the exact sum of these counties.

Warren CountyCentral county1343,717

Principal cities

The cities the area is named for.

McMinnvillePrincipal city13,844

Largest cities and towns

By population, for places with most of their residents in the area.

Other metro and micro areas in Tennessee

Areas based in Tennessee, best score first.

Neighboring metro and micro areas

Places that share a border, best score first.

Similar metro and micro areas

Closest indicator profiles across the country (no model: score distances).

Data and sources

Latest published value of each indicator; periods differ by source. Values flagged by their publisher are marked.

Mapping Injury, Overdose, and ViolenceCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · release 2026-10-01
PLACES: Local Data for Better HealthCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · release 2025
Daily county PM2.5 and ozone (EPA downscaler model)Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · U.S. Environmental Protection Agency · release 2022
Care Compare: Hospital General Information and Timely and Effective CareCenters for Medicare & Medicaid Services · release 2026-07-22
Distance to airports and intercity railFederal Aviation Administration · Bureau of Transportation Statistics · U.S. Census Bureau · release 2025+amtrak-2026-04-23
Uniform Crime Reporting Program, Return A master filesFederal Bureau of Investigation · release 2025
Public Libraries SurveyInstitute of Museum and Library Services · release FY2024
U.S. Drought Monitor county statisticsNational Drought Mitigation Center (University of Nebraska–Lincoln), USDA and NOAA · release 2026-09-29
Fatality Analysis Reporting SystemNational Highway Traffic Safety Administration · release 2024
nClimGrid-Daily county averagesNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · release 2025
Regional Economic AccountsU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · release 2024
Local Area Unemployment StatisticsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · release 2025
Quarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · release 2026 Q1
American Community Survey 5-Year EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2017-2024
Building Permits SurveyU.S. Census Bureau · release 2026-08
Business Formation StatisticsU.S. Census Bureau · release 2026-10-01
Population Estimates ProgramU.S. Census Bureau · release 2025
Small Area Health Insurance EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2024
Small Area Income and Poverty EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2024
Alternative Fuels Data Center station locatorU.S. Department of Energy · release 2026-10
Election Administration and Voting SurveyU.S. Election Assistance Commission · release 2024
County Health Rankings & RoadmapsUniversity of Wisconsin Population Health Institute · release 2022-2025+2026-03-supplement

JSON · /api/v1/places/M32660

Scores by category

Strengths · Weaknesses

Strengths

Weaknesses

Trends

What changed in five years

Improved13

Declined8

Metro and micro areas like McMinnville, TN micropolitan area five years ago that improved

Who lives here

Age and sex

Income

Household income

Homes

Owners and renters

Getting to work

How people get to work

Jobs and pay

Local businesses

Federal contract spending

Top buying agencies

Federal grants & assistance

Top programs

Top recipients (organizations)

Top agencies

Assistance by fiscal year

County aggregates

Counties in McMinnville, TN

Principal cities

Largest cities and towns

Other metro and micro areas in Tennessee

Neighboring metro and micro areas

Similar metro and micro areas

Data and sources

Improved13

Declined8

Age and sex

Household income

Owners and renters

How people get to work

Race and Hispanic origin

Education

Rent paid

Home values

Age of homes

Size of homes

Time to get to work

Top programs

Top recipients (organizations)

Top agencies

Assistance by fiscal year

County aggregates

Top buying agencies

By type

Top recipients

Spending by fiscal year

What was bought

Top industries (NAICS)

Largest awards