Census-designated place · Fairfax County, Virginia

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia

Bailey's Crossroads is a census-designated place in Fairfax County, Virginia, part of the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro area. It has 24,271 residents. Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia has a quality-of-life score of 77 out of 100 (high), ranking #3,663 of 15,651 US cities and towns. Within Virginia it ranks #158 of 375 cities and towns. It ranks best on injury deaths (low), life expectancy (high) and premature death (low). It ranks worst on uninsured residents (under 65) (high), public libraries (low) and high school diploma or higher (low).

77High

Quality-of-life score: #3,663 of 15,651 cities and towns
Virginia: #158 of 375 in VA
Population: 24,271 (2020-2024)
Land area: 2 mi²
Density: 11,831.8 /mi²
FIPS code: 5104088

Percentile-based score (100 is the best in the country) from 75 of 80 indicators, with the default “Explorer” weights.

Open in the map

Scores by category

Each category averages its indicators' percentile scores among US cities and towns.

Safety88#1,887/15,637
Economy39#9,496/15,631
Housing20#11,971/14,977
Health89#1,745/15,609
Healthcare73#4,183/15,650
Environment72#4,257/15,453
Education77#3,674/15,649
Infrastructure51#7,694/15,650
Community82#2,790/15,651
Leisure & amenities60#6,183/15,651

Strengths · Weaknesses

Indicators where Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia ranks highest and lowest among US cities and towns (score = percentile, 100 = best). Values marked “Fairfax County value” are the county’s: the source publishes no figure for this city or town, and the county holding most of its residents stands in.

Strengths

Injury deaths · low37 /100k
100/100Virginia 78 /100kUnited States 87 /100k2019-2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteFairfax County value
Life expectancy · high85.0 yrs
100/100Virginia 77.8 yrsUnited States 77.6 yrs2021-2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteFairfax County value
Premature death · low3,682 /100k
100/100Virginia 7,587 /100kUnited States 8,123 /100k2021-2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteFairfax County value
Access to exercise opportunities · high99.7%
99/100Virginia 83.8%United States 84.5%2022 & 2024University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteFairfax County value
Average weekly wage · high$2,212
99/100Virginia $1,540United States $1,5142025U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsFairfax County value
Food environment index · high9.6
98/100Virginia 8.9United States 7.62019 & 2023University of Wisconsin Population Health InstituteFairfax County value

Weaknesses

Uninsured residents (under 65) · high22.7%
4/100Virginia 8.1%United States 9.8%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B27010
Public libraries · low0.2 /10k
5/100Virginia 0.4 /10kUnited States 0.5 /10k2024Institute of Museum and Library ServicesFairfax County value
High school diploma or higher · low79.1%
6/100Virginia 91.6%United States 89.6%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B15003
Drought exposure · high80%
11/100Virginia 70%United States 43%Oct 2025–Sep 2026National Drought Mitigation Center (University of Nebraska–Lincoln), USDA and NOAAFairfax County value
Poverty rate · high22.5%
12/100Virginia 9.8%United States 12.1%2020-2024U.S. Census Bureau Census table B17001
Job growth · low-1.9%
14/100Virginia -0.2%United States 0.1%2026 Q1U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsProvisional dataFairfax County value

Trends

The largest changes over about five years, next to the country's over the same periods.

Broadband subscriptionsImproving
81.8% (2015-2019) → 89.3% (2020-2024)
+7.5 pts5 yearsCensus table B28002US 82.7% → 91.0%
Median household incomeImproving
$66,995 (2015-2019) → $88,483 (2020-2024)
+32%5 yearsCensus table B19013US $65,712 → $81,604
Public transit commutersWorsening
15.2% (2015-2019) → 11.0% (2020-2024)
−4.2 pts5 yearsCensus table B08301US 5.0% → 3.2%
Uninsured residents (under 65)Improving
26.9% (2015-2019) → 22.7% (2020-2024)
−4.2 pts5 yearsCensus table B27010US 10.8% → 9.8%
Poverty rateWorsening
18.7% (2015-2019) → 22.5% (2020-2024)
+3.8 pts5 yearsCensus table B17001US 12.3% → 12.1%
Rent-burdened householdsWorsening
56.8% (2015-2019) → 60.0% (2020-2024)
+3.1 pts5 yearsCensus table B25070US 49.6% → 51.1%

What changed in five years

How each measure moved between two periods about five years apart, read against whether more or less is better, the published margin of error and the same change in other places.

Over about five years, Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia improved on 2 of 15 measures with a comparison and declined on 0. 13 moved within the margin of error and 0 barely changed.

Earlier (2015-2019)
Latest (2020-2024)
Lower standingHigher standing

Position is the place's standing among cities and towns: further right is better, whichever way the measure counts.

Improved2

Household income+32%$66,995 → $88,483
Broadband+7.5 points81.8% → 89.3%

Declined0

No measure declined by more than its margin of error.

All 15 measures

Change of every measure of Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia between two periods about five years apart
Measure	Before	After	Change	Reading	Favourable vs peers
Average commute time	32.1 min2015-2019	27.5 min2020-2024	−4.6 min	Within the margin of error	88%
Bachelor's degree or higher	45.1%2015-2019	45.3%2020-2024	+0.2 points	Within the margin of error	29%
Broadband subscriptions	81.8%2015-2019	89.3%2020-2024	+7.5 points	Improved	46%
Child poverty rate	34.9%2015-2019	34.5%2020-2024	−0.4 points	Within the margin of error	47%
Effective property tax rate	1.00%2015-2019	0.93%2020-2024	−0.1 points	Within the margin of error	28%
High school diploma or higher	80.3%2015-2019	79.1%2020-2024	−1.2 points	Within the margin of error	21%
Home price to income ratio	5.3×2015-2019	4.7×2020-2024	−0.6×	Within the margin of error	95%
Income inequality (Gini index)	0.4742015-2019	0.4652020-2024	−0.009	Within the margin of error	59%
Median household income	$66,9952015-2019	$88,4832020-2024	+32%	Improved	60%
Poverty rate	18.7%2015-2019	22.5%2020-2024	+3.8 points	Within the margin of error	17%
Public transit commuters	15.2%2015-2019	11.0%2020-2024	−4.2 points	Within the margin of error	8%
Rent as share of income	35.0%2015-2019	34.7%2020-2024	−0.3 points	Within the margin of error	58%
Rent-burdened households	56.8%2015-2019	60.0%2020-2024	+3.1 points	Within the margin of error	44%
Unemployment rate	5.4%2015-2019	8.1%2020-2024	+2.7 points	Within the margin of error	12%
Uninsured residents (under 65)	26.9%2015-2019	22.7%2020-2024	−4.2 points	Within the margin of error	83%

“Against peers” compares the change with the same change in the 14640 cities and towns that have the same two periods. It describes how common a change is, not why it happened.

Sources: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. Values are the latest and the one five years earlier of the same publisher dataset; datasets that changed publisher in between are never compared.

Survey estimates (American Community Survey) compare the two most recent 5-year windows that do not share years, so the margin of error of the difference holds. The 2015-2019 window predates the pandemic and 2020-2024 includes it.
A change counts only when it is larger than 1.645 times the square root of the two standard errors squared, summed (a 90% margin). Measures published without a margin must change by at least 5% to count.
“Against peers” compares the change with the same change in the 15651 cities and towns that have the same two periods. It describes how common a change is, not why it happened.
Standing is a percentile among the same places: 0 is the lowest value on the measure (or the worst when lower is better), 100 the best.

Cities and towns like Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia five years ago that improved

The places whose measures looked most like those of Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia in the earlier period, ranked by how many measures improved beyond the margin of error, minus how many declined. A comparison of published data, not a forecast and not advice.

For comparison, Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia itself moved +1.4 points in standing on average over the same 10 measures (standings of all places average about zero).

How the ranking works

Similarity is the root-mean-square difference of standings in the earlier period over the measures most places have. Places are ranked by measures that improved beyond the margin of error minus those that declined (a count that estimation noise in small places cannot inflate), then by the mean change of standing over the measures a place has in both periods. Only places with more improvements than declines and a rise in standing are listed. Standings are relative, so a place can improve in absolute terms and still lose standing.

Who lives here

Age, race and education of residents, from the American Community Survey. Shares are of all residents (age), residents of every origin (race) or adults 25 and over (education).

Age and sex

24,271 residents (±1,872)

Men
Women

80 and over
70–79
60–69

Income

How household income is spread, not just the middle: each bar is the share of households in that income range.

Household income

9,494 households (±555)

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia
Virginia share

Under $25k16%1,486
$25k–50k16%1,490
$50k–75k12%1,106

Homes

Who owns and who rents, what homes cost, and what the housing stock looks like.

Owners and renters

9,494 households (±555)

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia
Virginia share

Own48%4,555
Rent52%4,939

Biggest shift since 2015–2019: Own (+8.0 points).

Table view

Getting to work

How workers travel to their job and how long it takes them.

How people get to work

11,690 workers (±1,056)

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia
Virginia share

Drive alone49%5,750
Carpool12%†1,370
Public transit11%†

Jobs and pay

What the largest occupations here pay, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics survey.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes pay by metro area, not by county or city. The metro area page lists its largest occupations and lets you look up any job.

Pay in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Local businesses

Employer businesses and sole proprietors by industry, per resident and against the state and the nation. Counts of businesses next to counts of people, not a measure of demand.

The Census Bureau publishes business counts by county, not by city, so these are the figures of Fairfax County, the county holding most of Bailey's Crossroads's residents.

Fairfax County has 31,931 employer establishments, 279 for every 10,000 residents (1.12× the US rate of 248; 1.16× Virginia's), with 696,002 paid employees at an average annual pay of $100,312. The Census Bureau also counts 130,037 nonemployer businesses, mostly sole proprietors.

Establishments: 31,931; 130,037 nonemployers
Per 10,000 residents: 279; US 248 · Virginia 241
Paid employees: 696,002
Average annual pay: $100,312; US $68,342

Employer establishments, employees, average pay and nonemployers of Fairfax County by industry, with the density per resident against the nation

Computer systems design and related services	3,683	32.2	7.44×More than typical	117,517	$121,878	3,011
Ambulatory health care services	3,051	26.7	1.28×More than typical	38,495	$75,312	6,211
Restaurants and other eating places	2,207	19.3	1.05×About typical	38,288	$27,027	674
Management, scientific and technical consulting	2,016	17.6	2.63×More than typical	46,554	$118,434	9,057
Lessors of real estate	1,696	14.8	1.20×About typical	9,931	$88,564	11,883
Specialty trade contractors	1,404	12.3	0.79×Fewer than typical	16,724	$81,199	6,665
Limited-service restaurants	1,026	9	1.12×About typical	16,219	$23,525	211
Construction of buildings	990	8.7	1.15×About typical	10,638	$109,712	3,635
Offices of physicians	926	8.1	1.25×More than typical	10,959	$106,612	1,087
Full-service restaurants	908	7.9	1.03×About typical	18,718	$30,849	337
Offices of dentists	812	7.1	1.76×More than typical	5,693	$67,036	472
Personal care services	761	6.7	1.39×More than typical	3,840	$36,818	4,655

Rank places for an industry Open Fairfax County

County Business Patterns (2023); Nonemployer Statistics (2024)

Per-resident figures divide by the population estimate of 2023: 1,143,456 residents here, 336,755,052 in the United States. County Business Patterns counts establishments in 2023; the Nonemployer Statistics count businesses in 2024.
“More than typical” is a density at least 1.25 times the nation's per resident, “fewer” at most 0.8 times, with at least 10 establishments. It compares counts of businesses with counts of people: it says nothing about demand, incomes, size, quality or profit, and visitors and commuters are not residents.
The Census Bureau adds noise to employment and payroll to protect confidentiality, and withholds some figures: an industry with few establishments can show employees or pay as unavailable.
Industries overlap: a narrower industry (full-service restaurants) is part of a broader one (restaurants), so the rows do not add up.
Industries follow the North American Industry Classification System; the two surveys use different editions (NAICS 2017 and 2022), which this page matches industry by industry.

Federal contracts performed here

In FY2026, an estimated $197.1M of federal contract obligations were for work performed in Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia: $8,120 per resident (US $1,995).

Obligations: $197.1M; +9.8% vs FY2025
Per resident: $8,120; US $1,995
Sole-source: 2.6%; US 30%
Single offer: 20%; US 8.8%

A signal is a reason to look closer, not evidence of wrongdoing: most sole-source awards are lawful and justified.

Top buying agencies

Department of the Air Force$51.5M26%
Federal Acquisition Service$43.2M22%
Department of the Army$36.7M19%
Defense Information Systems Agency$28.6M14%
Washington Headquarters Services$15.9M8.1%
Defense Health Agency$13M6.6%
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service$7.2M3.7%
Departmental Offices$607.2K0.3%

Top recipients

KBR WYLE SERVICES, LLC$51.5M26%
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC$36.4M18%
AMAZON WEB SERVICES, INC.$27.9M14%
MANTECH ADVANCED SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL, INC.$21.5M11%
ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC$20.9M11%

Spending by fiscal year

234.6MFY2017
210.7MFY2018
198.5MFY2019
167.9MFY2020
163.5MFY2021
134MFY2022
130.3MFY2023
87.5M

Top industries (NAICS)

Computer systems design and related services · 5415$94M48%
Scientific research and development services · 5417$58M29%
Data processing, hosting, and related services · 5182$27.9M14%
Other professional, scientific, and technical services · 5419$7.4M3.8%
Management, scientific, and technical consulting services · 5416$4.7M2.4%

Largest awards whose ZIP code lies mostly in Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia

JOINT MISSION ENVIRONMENT TEST CAPABILITY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, TEST, AND EVALUATION FOR THE OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE TEST RESOURCE MANAGEMENT CENTER$153.9M
KBR WYLE SERVICES, LLC· Fairfax County, VA· Research & development· Sep 25, 2024 – May 27, 2026· FA807524F0050
THE PURPOSE OF THIS ORDER IS TO PROVIDE A SHORT-TERM SOLUTION FOR A SYSTEM INTEGRATOR AND SERVICE DESK TO SUPPORT THE ADVANA OPERATING SYSTEM ENVIRONMENT.$130.2M
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON INC· Fairfax County, VA· IT & telecom· Jan 15, 2025 – Jun 2, 2026· FA800325F0008
ADVANA$54.8M
AMAZON WEB SERVICES, INC.· Fairfax County, VA· IT & telecom· Sep 29, 2025 – Jun 2, 2026· HC105025F0064

Source: Federal contract transactions (Federal Procurement Data System) (U.S. Department of the Treasury, USAspending.gov), data current to Oct 6, 2026, loaded Oct 6, 2026.

How this is estimated

Agencies report each contract action's place of performance as a county and a ZIP code. A ZIP code's money is split among the cities it covers by the share of its land inside each (Census 2020 ZIP code tabulation areas); the part outside city limits stays with the county.

The place of performance is what the contracting agency reports, often the contractor's office rather than where the work happens.
Shares are of land, not of people or businesses: a ZIP code that is mostly rural land but has its offices in town gives the town less than it should.
ZIP codes that are not mapped areas (post office boxes, the unique ZIP codes of large federal sites and companies) stay with their county, unless one city covers nearly all of it.
Counts of actions and awards include those only partly in Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia, so they do not add up across cities.

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia's figures are part of those of Fairfax County, VA ($35.1B in FY2026), never added to them: 0.6% of that total.

Grants and other federal assistance are counted by county here, not split among cities: Bailey's Crossroads is mostly in Fairfax County.

See federal money in Fairfax County

Representation in Congress

Members serving today, with their record in the current Congress (party-unity votes cast with their caucus, roll calls missed). Not a grade.

Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia is split between congressional districts: each representative is shown with the share of its residents in their district (current boundaries).

House

Senate

Tim Kaine

County

A city can lie in several counties. Some indicators are published for counties only: the page marks them.

Fairfax County96100% of residents

Metro area

The metro or micro area the city belongs to.

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV86

Other cities and towns in Fairfax County

Largest first.

Similar cities and towns

Closest indicator profiles across the country (no model: score distances).

Data and sources

Latest published value of each indicator; periods differ by source. Values flagged by their publisher are marked.

PLACES: Local Data for Better HealthCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · release 2025
Local Area Unemployment StatisticsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · release 2025
American Community Survey 5-Year EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2017-2024
Population Estimates ProgramU.S. Census Bureau · release 2025
Small Area Health Insurance EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2024
Small Area Income and Poverty EstimatesU.S. Census Bureau · release 2024
County Health Rankings & RoadmapsUniversity of Wisconsin Population Health Institute · release 2022-2025+2026-03-supplement

JSON · /api/v1/places/5104088

Scores by category

Strengths · Weaknesses

Strengths

Weaknesses

Trends